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Stock Traders Almanac 2012 (Almanac Investor Series): Jeffrey A. Hirsch, Yale Hirsch: Kindle Store. Q&A With Jeffery Hirsh, Editor-in-Chief of Stock Trader’s Almanac Jeffery Hirsh What is the biggest trend in the markets to watch for 2012 and how can investors prepare for it? Outside of the four-year cycle, sovereign debt concerns remain a major obstacle to markets in 2012. Beyond the threat of credit rating downgrades, any further austerity measures enacted to balance budgets could potentially cause severe damage to what has been a fragile economic recovery. What differentiates the Stock Trader's Almanac approach to investing from other approaches out in the market? Beyond our 45 year history, our research of seasonal patterns and cycles does not bind our readers to one corner of the market. Our research can be applied in nearly any trading strategy. Whether trading individual stocks or options on an index futures contract, our analysis can provide traders with an edge. Quote: "If the market does not rally, as it should during bullish seasonal periods, it is a sign that other forces are stronger and that when the seasonal period ends these forces will really have their say." —Edson Gould The Almanac is often quoted in the media and is famously known for a few key indicators that you follow. What are these indicators and how can investors trade them? Two of our widely known indicators are the January Barometer and the "Best Six Months". The January Barometer simply states: "As January goes, so goes the year." The January Barometer can only be applied to markets going back to the passage of the 20th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, the "lame duck" amendment. It made January a politically significant month in addition to the importance of being the first month of the New Year. Strength in January is a positive sign that can be used to increase long market exposure. Down Januarys on the other hand are negative omens. Every down January since 1950 was followed by a new or continuing bear market, a 10% or greater correction, or a flat year. A substantial amount of our research and trading advice revolves around the market’s "Best Six Months". What our research has shown is that the market makes the bulk of its gains in just six months of the year, November through April, hence the roots of "Sell in May". Traders and investors can enjoy the bulk of the gains with half the risk of buy and hold. The key to the “Best Six Months” for investors is to look for technical buying opportunity in October ahead of the usually bullish period and a selling opportunity in April or May. Last year you came out with Super Boom prediction for a coming market boom. Has the fluctuating market changed this prediction at all? Will the 2012 Almanac discuss this prediction? Yes we do cover the prediction in the 2012 Almanac and No the prediction has not changed. In our 2011 Annual Forecast sent to our subscribers in December 2010 we forecasted an early 2011 DJIA high in the 13000-14000 range. DJIA peaked in April at 12810. We also forecast a correction of 15-20%. From its April high to its October low, DJIA declined 16.8%. For full-year 2011 we forecast gains of 5-10% for the DJIA, which we still expect. This forecast was integrated into the Fifteen Year Projection chart found on page 74 of the Stock Trader’s Almanac 2012. A time-tested guide to stock trading market cyclesPublished every year since 1968, the Stock Trader's Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2012 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers. The Stock Trader's Almanac 2012 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. This trusted guide combines over a century's worth of data, statistics, and trends along with vital analysis you won't get anywhere else. The 2012 edition includes a revision of the Seasonal Switching Strategy that significantly boosts returns as well as new information on the coming Super Boom. Other key seasonal and cyclical updates include pre-presidential election year cycles and perspectives, how the government manipulates the economy to stay in power, incumbent victories vs. incumbent defeats, and the market impact of the lame duck year.Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidenceAn indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investorsThe data in the Almanac is some of the best in the businessFor its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader's Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.
Shipping Weight: 2 pounds
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